October 18, 2025 3:57 AM EST

Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays 10/19/2025

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Toronto Blue Jays are 56-29 at home this season and the Seattle Mariners are 42-43 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Trey Yesavage has a 44% chance of a QS and Logan Gilbert a 46% chance. If Trey Yesavage has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 50%. If Logan Gilbert has a quality start the Mariners has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 53%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is George Springer who averaged 2.19 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 67% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Seattle MarinersRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road42-43, 49% -276Record at Home56-29, 66% 1571Toronto Blue Jays
VS Toronto Blue Jays5-6, 45% -100VS Seattle Mariners6-5, 55% 170Toronto Blue Jays
vs Team .500 or Better53-47, 53% 151vs Team .500 or Better54-45, 55% 929Toronto Blue Jays
Record As Road Underdog19-20, 49% 264Record As Home Favorite36-21, 63% 246Seattle Mariners
When Logan Gilbert Starts17-10, 63% 170When Trey Yesavage Starts0-1, 0% -100Seattle Mariners

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Seattle MarinersRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-1, 86% 471Record at Home6-4, 60% 43Seattle Mariners
VS Toronto Blue Jays3-2, 60% 137VS Seattle Mariners2-3, 40% -80Seattle Mariners
vs Team .500 or Better3-5, 38% -163vs Team .500 or Better7-8, 47% -75Toronto Blue Jays
Record As Road Underdog3-1, 75% 237Record As Home Favorite5-3, 62% 16Seattle Mariners
When Logan Gilbert Starts3-1, 75% 153When Trey Yesavage Starts0-1, 0% -100Seattle Mariners

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Seattle MarinersRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD50-34, 60% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME46-35, 57% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-31, 59% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-34, 56% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Logan Gilbert STARTS13-13, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Trey Yesavage STARTS1-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 40-45, 47% -564 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 46-39, 54% +144 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-4, 43% -67 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-4, 60% +108

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 35-50, 41% -2204 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 48-37, 56% -192 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-4, 43% -128 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-4, 60% +25

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 27-44, 38% -2140 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 39-33, 54% + 270 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 5-2, 71% + 280 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW