The Houston Astros are 40-44 at home this season and the Texas Rangers are 45-41 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Framber Valdez has a 42% chance of a QS and Nathan Eovaldi a 41% chance. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 51%. If Nathan Eovaldi has a quality start the Rangers has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.6 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rangers win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.68 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Corey Seager who averaged 2.57 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 62% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 45-41, 52% 244 | Record at Home | 40-44, 48% -1963 | Texas Rangers |
| VS Houston Astros | 5-9, 36% -221 | VS Texas Rangers | 9-5, 64% 378 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 48-45, 52% 250 | vs Team .500 or Better | 45-45, 50% -420 | Texas Rangers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 23-23, 50% 516 | Record As Home Favorite | 37-42, 47% -2057 | Texas Rangers |
| When Nathan Eovaldi Starts | 19-9, 68% 595 | When Framber Valdez Starts | 20-16, 56% -262 | Texas Rangers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-6, 57% 233 | Record at Home | 2-7, 22% -547 | Texas Rangers |
| VS Houston Astros | 1-0, 100% 120 | VS Texas Rangers | 0-1, 0% -100 | Texas Rangers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-0, 100% 412 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-8, 50% -137 | Texas Rangers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-5, 55% 218 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-7, 22% -547 | Texas Rangers |
| When Nathan Eovaldi Starts | 4-1, 80% 244 | When Framber Valdez Starts | 2-3, 40% -179 | Texas Rangers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 38-45, 46% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 46-37, 55% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-9, 31% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-3, 67% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-40, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-51, 41% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Nathan Eovaldi STARTS | 14-13, 52% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Framber Valdez STARTS | 18-18, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 47-39, 55% -423 Houston Astros Home Games: 38-46, 45% -1121 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 9-5, 64% +434 Houston Astros Home Games: 3-6, 33% -327
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 42-44, 49% -1175 Houston Astros Home Games: 43-41, 51% -1241 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 8-6, 57% +100 Houston Astros Home Games: 3-6, 33% -327
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 36-38, 49% -580 Houston Astros Home Games: 40-29, 58% + 810 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 5-8, 38% -380 Houston Astros Home Games: 7-1, 88% + 590
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
