October 13, 2025 10:15 AM EST

Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays 10/13/2025

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The Toronto Blue Jays are 56-27 at home this season and the Seattle Mariners are 40-43 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Trey Yesavage has a 43% chance of a QS and Logan Gilbert a 45% chance. If Trey Yesavage has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 53%. If Logan Gilbert has a quality start the Mariners has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is George Springer who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.36 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 66% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Seattle MarinersRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road40-43, 48% -520Record at Home56-27, 67% 1771Toronto Blue Jays
VS Toronto Blue Jays2-4, 33% -237VS Seattle Mariners4-2, 67% 250Toronto Blue Jays
vs Team .500 or Better50-45, 53% 14vs Team .500 or Better52-42, 55% 1009Toronto Blue Jays
Record As Road Underdog17-20, 46% 20Record As Home Favorite36-19, 65% 446Toronto Blue Jays
When Logan Gilbert Starts16-10, 62% 61When Trey Yesavage Starts0-0 No GamesSeattle Mariners

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays

Seattle MarinersRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-2, 75% 275Record at Home8-2, 80% 350Toronto Blue Jays
VS Toronto Blue Jays0-0 No GamesVS Seattle Mariners0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better5-4, 56% 1vs Team .500 or Better5-5, 50% 5Toronto Blue Jays
Record As Road Underdog1-2, 33% -107Record As Home Favorite7-1, 88% 323Toronto Blue Jays
When Logan Gilbert Starts3-1, 75% 111When Trey Yesavage Starts0-0 No GamesSeattle Mariners

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Seattle MarinersRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD49-33, 60% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME45-34, 57% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-2, 75% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-31, 59% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-34, 56% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Logan Gilbert STARTS12-13, 48% OverOVER-UNDER IN Trey Yesavage STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 38-45, 46% -808 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 44-39, 53% -100 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 1-7, 12% -611 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 6-4, 60% -29

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 34-49, 41% -2213 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 47-36, 57% -201 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 4-4, 50% -89 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 7-3, 70% +123

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 26-43, 38% -2130 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 38-32, 54% + 280 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170

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