October 11, 2025 5:20 AM EST

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers 10/11/2025

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The Milwaukee Brewers are 54-29 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 42-41 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Jacob Misiorowski has a 39% chance of a QS and Colin Rea a 40% chance. If Jacob Misiorowski has a quality start the Brewers has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 48%. If Colin Rea has a quality start the Cubs has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Christian Yelich who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 64% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Chicago CubsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road42-41, 51% -322Record at Home54-29, 65% 1122Milwaukee Brewers
VS Milwaukee Brewers9-7, 56% 40VS Chicago Cubs7-9, 44% -262Chicago Cubs
vs Team .500 or Better42-48, 47% -1223vs Team .500 or Better47-40, 54% 643Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog15-21, 42% -272Record As Home Favorite42-20, 68% 771Milwaukee Brewers
When Colin Rea Starts15-11, 58% 212When Jacob Misiorowski Starts10-5, 67% 337Milwaukee Brewers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers

Chicago CubsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-6, 33% -338Record at Home8-3, 73% 152Milwaukee Brewers
VS Milwaukee Brewers1-2, 33% -119VS Chicago Cubs2-1, 67% 45Milwaukee Brewers
vs Team .500 or Better3-7, 30% -448vs Team .500 or Better4-5, 44% -181Milwaukee Brewers
Record As Road Underdog1-4, 20% -287Record As Home Favorite8-3, 73% 152Milwaukee Brewers
When Colin Rea Starts0-3, 0% -300When Jacob Misiorowski Starts1-1, 50% -41Milwaukee Brewers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDMilwaukee BrewersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD40-39, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME41-40, 51% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-3, 62% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-36, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-34, 53% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Colin Rea STARTS14-10, 58% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jacob Misiorowski STARTS11-3, 79% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 45-38, 54% -503 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 40-43, 48% -611 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-1, 89% +514 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -207

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 51-32, 61% +780 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 47-36, 57% -367 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 9-0, 100% +745 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 8-3, 73% +152

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 44-24, 65% + 1760 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 33-37, 47% -770 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-2, 71% + 280 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 70

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