The Chicago Cubs are 52-30 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 38-44 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Colin Rea has a 49% chance of a QS and Dylan Cease a 44% chance. If Colin Rea has a quality start the Cubs has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 62%. If Dylan Cease has a quality start the Padres has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 45%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Seiya Suzuki who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Fernando Tatis who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 60% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 38-44, 46% -738 | Record at Home | 52-30, 63% 181 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 3-4, 43% -141 | VS San Diego Padres | 4-3, 57% 5 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 43-44, 49% -311 | vs Team .500 or Better | 40-45, 47% -1091 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 22-28, 44% -157 | Record As Home Favorite | 46-24, 66% 212 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Dylan Cease Starts | 16-14, 53% -344 | When Colin Rea Starts | 15-10, 60% 312 | Chicago Cubs |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-5, 50% -191 | Record at Home | 10-6, 62% 40 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS San Diego Padres | 1-0, 100% 84 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-7, 46% -246 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -305 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-3, 25% -199 | Record As Home Favorite | 10-5, 67% 140 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Dylan Cease Starts | 2-3, 40% -230 | When Colin Rea Starts | 1-2, 33% -119 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 35-44, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 36-42, 46% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-5, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-41, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-47, 41% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Dylan Cease STARTS | 14-14, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Colin Rea STARTS | 14-9, 61% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 49-33, 60% +1544 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 49-33, 60% -91 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 5-5, 50% +77 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 11-5, 69% +227
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 51-31, 62% +821 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 54-28, 66% +533 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 7-3, 70% +140 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 11-5, 69% +227
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 39-24, 62% + 1260 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 28-40, 41% -1600 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 80 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40
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