October 01, 2025 4:43 AM EST

Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians 10/1/2025

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The Cleveland Guardians are 45-37 at home this season and the Detroit Tigers are 41-40 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Riley Greene who averaged 1.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 68% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians

Detroit TigersRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road41-40, 51% -619Record at Home45-37, 55% -160Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians6-8, 43% -378VS Detroit Tigers8-6, 57% 359Cleveland Guardians
vs Team .500 or Better45-43, 51% -434vs Team .500 or Better42-48, 47% -174Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog16-19, 46% -88Record As Home Favorite34-20, 63% 287Cleveland Guardians
When Casey Mize Starts18-11, 62% 427When Tanner Bibee Starts17-13, 57% 237Detroit Tigers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians

Detroit TigersRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-7, 46% -44Record at Home10-4, 71% 334Cleveland Guardians
VS Cleveland Guardians2-5, 29% -317VS Detroit Tigers5-2, 71% 407Cleveland Guardians
vs Team .500 or Better6-13, 32% -644vs Team Under .50019-6, 76% 1192Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog4-4, 50% 122Record As Home Favorite9-3, 75% 305Cleveland Guardians
When Casey Mize Starts2-3, 40% -63When Tanner Bibee Starts4-0, 100% 425Cleveland Guardians

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit TigersRECORDCleveland GuardiansRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD43-38, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME36-42, 46% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-7, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-10, 29% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-37, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Casey Mize STARTS17-12, 59% OverOVER-UNDER IN Tanner Bibee STARTS14-14, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 48-33, 59% +897 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 38-44, 46% -855 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 8-5, 62% +336 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 4-10, 29% -602

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 49-32, 60% +529 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 47-35, 57% +39 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 6-7, 46% -188 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 7-7, 50% -184

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 43-27, 61% + 1330 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 38-31, 55% + 390 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Cleveland Guardians Home Games: 10-4, 71% + 560

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