Over the holidays, the English Premier League is the only major European football league playing matches. As such, my pool of picking games dwindles. The Bundesliga and Serie A are my favourite leagues to pick from, but with neither offering matches for a couple weeks, I am forced to only pick from the Premier League.
Today is Christmas Day, and tomorrow is Boxing Day. The Premier League has a tradition of playing matches on boxing day, so AccuScore took a look at the matchups, odds, and simulation results to make one free Christmas Pick. If you’re a member, you get winning bets every weekend with expert reasoning and betting analysis. Also, if you sign up now and use the Coupon Code ‘futbol20’, you’ll get 20% OFF our annual rates. Happy Holidays!
My picks have provided winning returns every weekend since 21 October with over 400% profit during this stretch.
Free AccuScore Christmas Pick
Newcastle to win (2.810)
AccuScore gives Newcastle a 46% chance of winning this match, while oddmakers are currently giving Demba Ba and company only a 33.9% chance of winning. There is definite value in this pick. Add in that Bolton is only 2 points off the foot of the table. However, I should mention that Newcastle has not won any of their last 6 matches in the Premier League…so, I think they’re due. As much as I am making a value pick, the trends are the guiding force here:
Trends:AccuScore is 6-6 when making value picks involving Newcastle away from St. James’ Park (sorry, I still call it St. James’ Park) but AccuScore is +900 units profit in those picks. Similarly, AccuScore is 6-6 when projecting value on Newcastle winning, but the returns have been +400 units profit in those picks. AccuScore is 13-4 when projecting value on Bolton losing this season with about +1100 units profit in those picks. Finally, AccuScore is 7-3 in value picks at the Reebok Stadium with +800 units in profit.
Every week, I look at the best value picks and do trend analysis for every match in the English Premier League, German Bundesliga, Italian Serie A, Spanish La Liga, and the UEFA Champions League to make Members-only picks. If you’re not a member, TRY it FREE for 7 Days and get access to Expert match forecasts with individual scoring probabilities (1st to score, last to score, hattrick, etc.) for every league AccuScore covers. With updated betting odds, individual goal scoring probabilities, and carefully dissected analyst picks, you’d be wise to try it out.
