Written by Rohit Ghosh

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Monday Night Football: Week 3

Monday Night Football in Week 3 features the New Orleans Saints (0-2) hosting the Atlanta Falcons (1-1) in what's expected to be a fast-paced contest. The Saints - looking for their first win of 2016 - enter this matchup having won four of their past five in the Superdome vs Atlanta. .

At the time of publication, New Orleans is listed at -140 on the money line, indicating about a 58 percent chance of winning.

Looking just at the money line, AccuScore simulation data would suggest staying away - the Saints win about 55 percent of sims, indicating absolutely no value on that pick.

Best Bet: The value pick in this matchup, however, is on the total. The total combined score stays UNDER 53.5 in over 58 percent of simulations - a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.

Betting Trend(s): The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 12 games, and in five of Atlanta's last seven games vs New Orleans.

What to watch for: There's a reason the total is set in the 50s, and it has more to do with Atlanta's new style this season than Saints QB Drew Brees playing at home.

Atlanta promised an even more uptempo style in the offseason and the no-huddle through the first two weeks has yielded exactly that. Heading into this MNF matchup, Atlanta has gone no-huddle in about 25 percent of their snaps.

The New Orleans' pass defense is allowing 336 yards per game, recording just two sacks and no INTs this season.

Atlanta's defense is nothing to write home about either, having forced ONLY four three-and-outs this season. Drew Brees and the Saints offense struggled last week in their 16-13 loss to NY Giants; the three-headed monster of Brandin Cooks, Willie Snead and Michael Thomas should have more luck this week though.

For Week 3 in the NFL, AccuScore's computer put up positive numbers across the board. There wasn't a single major trend where the computer was not profitable:
Against the Spread Picks: 10-5, 66% +601
Side Value PIcks: 9-6, 60% +625
Moneyline: 10-5, 67% +224
Over/Under: 9-6, 60% +219

...All NFL Picks from NFL Week 3: 38-22, 63% +1669

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