Written by Rohit Ghosh

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New York Jets vs. Indianapolis Colts: Monday Night Football

We've got a money line (ML) value alert for Week 13's Monday Night Football action as the New York Jets host the Indianapolis Colts.

The Colts head to MetLife Stadium as road favorites against a franchise they've lost three straight to.

Vegas Odds vs AccuScore Sims

Indy's listed on the money line at -130, with the Jets getting +110 as the home team. AccuScore simulations disagree with the odds listed in Vegas, indicating the spread is off by over four points.

The Jets win a little over 55 percent of simulations. AccuScore would have listed NY at -125 on the money line, making the +110 fairly attractive.

The Colts are 1-4 straight up (SU) in their last five games against the Jets.

Best Bet(s) & Betting Trends

There's a four-star AccuScore hot trend on the spread: Click Here to see All AccuScore Picks for the Monday Night game

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- The Jets are 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 6 games vs the Colts.
- The Jets are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games overall.

What to Watch For

The Colts finally seemed to be building some momentum this season, recording back-to-back wins over the Green Bay Packers and Tennessee Titans. Thanksgiving week gave us the Andrew Luck concussion that ultimately resulted in a 28-7 loss to the Steelers for Indy. Luck will be back on Monday, looking to regain some footing against a defense allowing ~263 yards per game - in the bottom third of the league.

New York knows what it'll get on offense, but the bigger surprise this week will be their defense. They played better than expected against the New England Patriots last week, up 17-13 at one point in the fourth quarter. They lost 22-17, but showed enough grit to suggest their 22nd ranked defense might be a little better than the current numbers suggest.

Fantasy Projections

QB Andrew Luck: 244 passing yards, 1.4 TDS avg in sims, 1.1 INTs avg in sims, 75.0 Passer Rating
RB Frank Gore: 72 yards, 14 carries, 0.5 TDs avg in sims
WR T.Y. Hilton: 76 yards, 6 receptions, 0.5 TDs avg in sims

QB Ryan Fitzpatrick: 238 passing yards, 1.4 TDs avg in sims, 0.7 INTs avg in sims, 85.0 Passer Rating
RB Matt Forte: 120 yards, 22 carries, 0.8 TDs avg in sims
WR Brandon Marshall: 62 yards, 5 receptions, 0.5 TDs avg in sims