Expert Betting Analysis: Dodgers vs D-Backs

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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MLB Thursday: LA Dodgers vs Arizona D-Backs – Analyst Picks

With 80 wins already recorded on the season, the LA Dodgers head into Thursday's matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks playing like title-level squad, making it impossible to keep pace with them in the standings. Their newest addition in Yu Darvish gets his second start for the Dodgers, matched up across from Arizona's Anthony Banda.

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Betting Trends

• The Dodgers are 44-8 in their last 52 overall.
• The Dodgers are 44-8 in their last 52 games on grass.
• The Dodgers are 43-8 in their last 51 games as a favorite.
• The Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 Thu. games.
• The Diamondbacks are 41-18 in their last 59 home games.

All of Today's MLB Picks: AccuScore's Baseball Picks

Trends vs AccuScore Sim Data

We’re always interested when we our simulation data goes against recent betting trends or Vegas odds makers. That’s exactly what we’ve got in tonight’smatchup with recent trends suggesting the UNDER on the total (9). The UNDER is 7-2 in Arizona’s last nine Thursday games as an underdog.

AccuScore sim data has the OVER as a two-star (out of four) hot trend, with about 54 percent of sims going OVER 9.

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Expert Picks

Vegas vs AccuScore

Despite the Dodgers playing at a ridiculous level right now, AccuScore sim data suggests a whole lot more value on the home ‘dogs than to Vegas odds. Arizona’s getting +170 on the money line at the time of publication, indicating about a 37 percent chance of winning. AccuScore sim data, however, has Arizona winning close to 49 percent of sims.

AccuScore would have listed the home ‘dogs at about +105, suggesting some good value on the +170 listed in Vegas.