The Kansas City Chiefs are a solid favorite with a 75.0% chance to beat the Indianapolis Colts. Clyde Edwards-Helaire is projected for 41.0 rushing yards and a 28.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 24.0% of simulations where Indianapolis Colts wins, Matt Ryan averages 1.68 TD passes vs 0.47 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.14 TDs to 0.93 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor averages 111.0 rushing yards and 1.28 rushing TDs when Indianapolis Colts wins and 72.0 yards and 0.55 TDs in losses. The Kansas City Chiefs has a 32.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91.0% of the time.
| Kansas City Chiefs | | Indianapolis Colts | | |
|---|
| All Games | 8-11-0 | All Games | 5-10-1 | |
| Road Games | 40-50-00 | Home Games | 3-5-1 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 7-10-0 | When Underdog | 4-5-1 | Indianapolis Colts |
| Non-Division Opp | 7-6-0 | Non-Division Opp | 4-6-1 | Indianapolis Colts |
| Opp Under .500 | 2-4-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-3-1 | Indianapolis Colts |
| Kansas City Chiefs | | Indianapolis Colts | | |
|---|
| All Games | 10-10-0 | All Games | 10-7-0 | |
| Road Games | 40-40-00 | Home Games | 4-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 10-10-0 | When Underdog | 6-3-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 6-8-0 | Non-Division Opp | 8-3-0 | |
| Opp .500+ Record | 106-120-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 76-56-0 | |
| Kansas City Chiefs | | Indianapolis Colts | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 8-11-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-9-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 6-3-0 | At Home | 3-5-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 11-9-0 | All Totals Last Season | 8-8-1 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 6-2-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-4-1 | OVER |
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