The Buffalo Bills are a solid favorite with a 68.0% chance to beat the Miami Dolphins. Devin Singletary is projected for 51.0 rushing yards and a 41.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 32.0% of simulations where Miami Dolphins wins, Tua Tagovailoa averages 1.78 TD passes vs 0.87 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.27 TDs to 1.39 interceptions. Chase Edmonds averages 71.0 rushing yards and 0.82 rushing TDs when Miami Dolphins wins and 32.0 yards and 0.25 TDs in losses. The Buffalo Bills has a 71.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81.0% of the time.
| Buffalo Bills | | Miami Dolphins | | |
|---|
| All Games | 8-10-1 | All Games | 10-8-0 | Miami Dolphins |
| Road Games | 40-40-10 | Home Games | 5-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 8-10-1 | When Underdog | 6-3-0 | Miami Dolphins |
| Division Opp | 2-5-0 | Division Opp | 6-1-0 | Miami Dolphins |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-5-1 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-4-0 | Miami Dolphins |
| Buffalo Bills | | Miami Dolphins | | |
|---|
| All Games | 9-9-1 | All Games | 10-7-0 | |
| Road Games | 50-40-00 | Home Games | 5-4-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 7-7-1 | When Underdog | 6-4-0 | |
| Division Opp | 4-2-1 | Division Opp | 4-2-0 | |
| Opp .500+ Record | 53-66-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 76-47-0 | |
| Buffalo Bills | | Miami Dolphins | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-13-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 9-9-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 1-8-0 | At Home | 1-7-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 10-9-0 | All Totals Last Season | 7-10-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 6-3-0 | At Home Last Season | 5-4-0 | OVER |
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