Expect a close game with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers winning 56.0% of simulations, and the Cleveland Browns 44.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers commit fewer turnovers in 28.0% of simulations and they go on to win 86.0% when they take care of the ball. The Cleveland Browns wins 56.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Tom Brady is averaging 314.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40.0% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Nick Chubb is averaging 63.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37.0% chance) then he helps his team win 61%.
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | | Cleveland Browns | | |
|---|
| All Games | 4-13-1 | All Games | 8-9-0 | |
| Road Games | 20-60-00 | Home Games | 4-4-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 4-8-1 | When Underdog | 5-5-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 2-9-1 | Non-Division Opp | 4-7-0 | |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-4-1 | Opp Under .500 | 1-3-0 | |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | | Cleveland Browns | | |
|---|
| All Games | 10-9-0 | All Games | 7-9-1 | |
| Road Games | 30-60-00 | Home Games | 3-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 10-9-0 | When Underdog | 5-3-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 6-7-0 | Non-Division Opp | 5-5-1 | |
| Opp Under .500 | 94-50-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 72-86-13 | |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | | Cleveland Browns | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-12-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 8-9-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 2-6-0 | At Home | 4-4-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 10-9-0 | All Totals Last Season | 8-9-0 | |
| On Road Last Season | 4-5-0 | At Home Last Season | 3-6-0 | UNDER |
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