Expect a close game with the Los Angeles Chargers winning 47.0% of simulations, and the Arizona Cardinals 52.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Los Angeles Chargers commit fewer turnovers in 13.0% of simulations and they go on to win 88.0% when they take care of the ball. The Arizona Cardinals wins 59.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Justin Herbert is averaging 363.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (44.0% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. James Conner is averaging 62.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38.0% chance) then he helps his team win 78%.
| Los Angeles Chargers | | Arizona Cardinals | | |
|---|
| All Games | 9-7-2 | All Games | 8-9-0 | |
| Road Games | 50-40-10 | Home Games | 4-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 5-6-2 | When Underdog | 7-7-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 6-4-2 | Non-Division Opp | 7-4-0 | |
| Opp Under .500 | 1-3-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-5-0 | |
| Los Angeles Chargers | | Arizona Cardinals | | |
|---|
| All Games | 8-9-0 | All Games | 10-8-0 | |
| Road Games | 40-40-00 | Home Games | 2-6-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 6-7-0 | When Underdog | 6-1-0 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 5-6-0 | Non-Division Opp | 6-5-0 | |
| Opp .500+ Record | 69-87-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 78-60-0 | |
| Los Angeles Chargers | | Arizona Cardinals | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 8-10-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 10-7-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 5-5-0 | At Home | 5-4-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 10-7-0 | All Totals Last Season | 7-11-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 3-5-0 | UNDER |
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