April 16, 2023 11:42 AM EST

Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans 11/27/2022

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Expect a close game with the Cincinnati Bengals winning 50.0% of simulations, and the Tennessee Titans 50.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Cincinnati Bengals commit fewer turnovers in 22.0% of simulations and they go on to win 84.0% when they take care of the ball. The Tennessee Titans wins 60.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Joe Burrow is averaging 305.0 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32.0% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. Derrick Henry is averaging 99.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (43.0% chance) then he helps his team win 72%.

Cincinnati BengalsTennessee Titans
All Games 15-5-0All Games 8-7-2
Road Games 80-30-00Home Games 3-4-1 No Edge
When Favored 11-4-0When Underdog 4-4-2
Non-Division Opp 11-2-0Non-Division Opp 5-4-2
Opp .500+ Record 6-0-0Opp .500+ Record 3-3-1Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati BengalsTennessee Titans
All Games 13-8-0All Games 10-8-0
Road Games 70-30-00Home Games 6-4-0 No Edge
When Favored 5-6-0When Underdog 6-1-0
Non-Division Opp 9-6-0Non-Division Opp 6-6-0
Opp .500+ Record 125-65-0Opp .500+ Record 61-62-0

Cincinnati BengalsTennessee Titans
All Totals (O-U-P) 7-12-1All Totals (O-U-P) 5-12-0UNDER
On Road 3-7-1At Home 3-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 9-11-0All Totals Last Season 7-11-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 2-8-0At Home Last Season 1-9-0UNDER

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