February 07, 2024 5:25 AM CST

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts 11/26/2023

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Expect a close game with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers winning 50.0% of simulations, and the Indianapolis Colts 49.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers commit fewer turnovers in 40.0% of simulations and they go on to win 70.0% when they take care of the ball. The Indianapolis Colts wins 64.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Rachaad White is averaging 68.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29.0% chance) then he helps his team win 80%. Jonathan Taylor is averaging 51.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (11.0% chance) then he helps his team win 75%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Tampa Bay BuccaneersATS RECORDIndianapolis ColtsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 12-6-1All Games 9-8-0No Edge
Road Games 80-20-00Home Games 4-5-0 No Edge
When Underdog 9-4-0When Favored 5-1-0Indianapolis Colts
Non-Division Opp 9-4-0Non-Division Opp 6-5-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 4-4-0Opp Under .500 5-2-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Tampa Bay BuccaneersATS RECORDIndianapolis ColtsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 4-13-1All Games 5-11-1No Edge
Road Games 20-60-00Home Games 3-5-1 No Edge
When Underdog 0-5-0When Favored 1-6-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 2-9-1Non-Division Opp 4-6-1No Edge
Opp Under .500 29-99-9Opp Under .500 36-55-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay BuccaneersO-U-P RECORDIndianapolis ColtsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 7-12-0All Totals (O-U-P) 11-6-0UNDER
On Road 5-5-0At Home 7-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season 6-12-0All Totals Last Season 7-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season 2-6-0At Home Last Season 3-5-0UNDER

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