The New Orleans Saints are a solid favorite with a 63.0% chance to beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Alvin Kamara is projected for 60.0 rushing yards and a 15.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 37.0% of simulations where Tampa Bay Buccaneers wins, Baker Mayfield averages 1.82 TD passes vs 0.31 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.09 TDs to 0.5 interceptions. Rachaad White averages 44.0 rushing yards and 0.25 rushing TDs when Tampa Bay Buccaneers wins and 25.0 yards and 0.1 TDs in losses. The New Orleans Saints has a 71.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 75.0% of the time.
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | | New Orleans Saints | | |
|---|
| All Games | 12-6-1 | All Games | 6-11-0 | |
| Road Games | 80-20-00 | Home Games | 3-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 9-4-0 | When Favored | 4-9-0 | |
| Division Opp | 3-2-1 | Division Opp | 3-3-0 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Opp Under .500 | 4-0-1 | Opp Under .500 | 4-4-0 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | | New Orleans Saints | | |
|---|
| All Games | 4-13-1 | All Games | 6-10-1 | |
| Road Games | 20-60-00 | Home Games | 3-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 0-5-0 | When Favored | 3-5-0 | |
| Division Opp | 2-4-0 | Division Opp | 1-5-0 | |
| Opp Under .500 | 29-99-9 | Opp Under .500 | 40-86-0 | |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | | New Orleans Saints | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-12-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-11-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 5-5-0 | At Home | 3-5-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 6-12-0 | All Totals Last Season | 6-11-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 2-6-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-5-0 | UNDER |
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