Expect a close game with the New England Patriots winning 42.0% of simulations, and the Dallas Cowboys 58.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New England Patriots commit fewer turnovers in 44.0% of simulations and they go on to win 67.0% when they take care of the ball. The Dallas Cowboys wins 78.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Rhamondre Stevenson is averaging 48.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (10.0% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Tony Pollard is averaging 38.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (19.0% chance) then he helps his team win 78%.
| New England Patriots | | Dallas Cowboys | | |
|---|
| All Games | 1-4-0 | All Games | 3-2-0 | San Francisco 49ers |
| Road Games | 10-10-00 | Home Games | 2-0-0 | Dallas Cowboys |
| When Underdog | 0-3-0 | When Favored | 3-1-0 | San Francisco 49ers |
| Non-Division Opp | 0-3-0 | Non-Division Opp | 2-2-0 | San Francisco 49ers |
| Opp .500+ Record | 1-3-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-1-0 | San Francisco 49ers |
| New England Patriots | | Dallas Cowboys | | |
|---|
| All Games | 8-9-0 | All Games | 10-8-1 | |
| Road Games | 50-40-00 | Home Games | 6-3-1 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 2-7-0 | When Favored | 7-5-1 | |
| Non-Division Opp | 6-5-0 | Non-Division Opp | 7-5-1 | San Francisco 49ers |
| Opp .500+ Record | 43-98-0 | Opp Under .500 | 56-47-3 | |
| New England Patriots | | Dallas Cowboys | | |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 1-4-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-2-1 | UNDER |
| On Road | 0-2-0 | At Home | 1-1-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 8-8-1 | All Totals Last Season | 10-9-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 5-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 5-4-0 | OVER |
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