May 07, 2025 6:08 AM EST

NHL: Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 5/7/2025

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The Florida Panthers are slight 53.3 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Panthers are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +3 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 27 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.7% compared to the Panthers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.1%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Sergei Bobrovsky 22, Joseph Woll 24 SHOTS: Carter Verhaeghe 3.3, Auston Matthews 4.1 GOALS: Sam Reinhart 0.54, William Nylander 0.52 PTS: Aleksander Barkov has a 57% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Mitch Marner has a 63% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Maple Leafs

Florida PanthersRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-22, 51% -377Record at Home30-15, 67% 536Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs3-2, 60% 32VS Florida Panthers2-3, 40% -111Florida Panthers
vs Team .500 or Better22-17, 56% 102vs Team .500 or Better21-19, 52% 196Toronto Maple Leafs
Record as Road Favorite15-18, 45% -833Record as Home Underdog5-1, 83% 451Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off44-30, 59% -4846After 1 or More Days Off47-26, 64% -3910Toronto Maple Leafs

PAST 30 DAYS

Florida PanthersRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-2, 60% 95Record at Home5-1, 83% 251Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-1, 50% -25VS Florida Panthers1-1, 50% 5Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team .500 or Better2-2, 50% -80vs Team .500 or Better3-1, 75% 203Toronto Maple Leafs
Record as Road Favorite0-1, 0% -100Record as Home Underdog1-0, 100% 105Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off7-3, 70% -632After 1 or More Days Off8-3, 73% -491Toronto Maple Leafs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Florida PanthersRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD23-22, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME26-18, 59% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-1, 80% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-12, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home32-36, 47% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road34-31, 52% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Florida Panthers Road Games: 21-24, 47% -234 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 27-18, 60% +754 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 2-3, 40% -114 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-3, 50% -54

MONEY LINE - Florida Panthers Road Games: 22-23, 49% -552 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 31-14, 69% 799 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 2-3, 40% -114 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 5-1, 83% +251

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Florida Panthers Road Games: 22-23, 49% -298 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 28-17, 62% + 848 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 1-4, 20% -309 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-3, 50% -27

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