May 05, 2025 8:15 AM EST

NHL: Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 5/5/2025

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The Florida Panthers are slight 51 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Panthers are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +4 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 28 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.4% compared to the Panthers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Sergei Bobrovsky 21, Anthony Stolarz 25 SHOTS: Carter Verhaeghe 3.3, Auston Matthews 4.2 GOALS: Sam Reinhart 0.53, William Nylander 0.53 PTS: Aleksander Barkov has a 54% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Mitch Marner has a 65% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Maple Leafs

Florida PanthersRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-21, 52% -277Record at Home29-15, 66% 431Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs3-1, 75% 132VS Florida Panthers1-3, 25% -216Florida Panthers
vs Team .500 or Better22-16, 58% 202vs Team .500 or Better20-19, 51% 91Florida Panthers
Record as Road Favorite15-17, 47% -733Record as Home Underdog4-1, 80% 346Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off44-29, 60% -4746After 1 or More Days Off46-26, 64% -4015Toronto Maple Leafs

PAST 30 DAYS

Florida PanthersRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-3, 50% -5Record at Home5-1, 83% 195Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-0, 100% 75VS Florida Panthers0-1, 0% -100Florida Panthers
vs Team .500 or Better3-2, 60% -30vs Team .500 or Better7-3, 70% 199Toronto Maple Leafs
Record as Road Favorite0-2, 0% -200Record as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesToronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off7-3, 70% -632After 1 or More Days Off8-3, 73% -645Florida Panthers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Florida PanthersRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD22-22, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME26-18, 59% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-12, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home31-36, 46% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road33-31, 52% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Florida Panthers Road Games: 20-24, 45% -339 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 26-18, 59% +649 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 3-3, 50% -14 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-3, 50% -110

MONEY LINE - Florida Panthers Road Games: 21-23, 48% -657 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 30-14, 68% 694 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 2-4, 33% -220 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 5-1, 83% +195

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Florida Panthers Road Games: 22-22, 50% -198 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 28-16, 64% + 948 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 3-3, 50% -27 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-2, 67% + 164

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