May 02, 2025 11:50 AM EST

NHL: Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars 5/3/2025

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The Colorado Avalanche are slight 52 percent favorites over the Dallas Stars. The Avalanche are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +4 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 30 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Stars. The Stars goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.9% compared to the Avalanche goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.9%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Mackenzie Blackwood 23, Jake Oettinger 27 SHOTS: Nathan MacKinnon 4.5, Mikko Rantanen 3.1 GOALS: Valeri Nichushkin 0.52, Mikko Rantanen 0.43 PTS: Nathan MacKinnon has a 68% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Mikko Rantanen has a 62% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Dallas Stars

Colorado AvalancheRECORDDallas StarsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-21, 52% -474Record at Home31-13, 70% 466Dallas Stars
VS Dallas Stars4-5, 44% -231VS Colorado Avalanche5-4, 56% 159Dallas Stars
vs Team .500 or Better20-22, 48% -695vs Team .500 or Better21-20, 51% -287Dallas Stars
Record as Road Favorite19-14, 58% -224Record as Home Underdog3-0, 100% 339Dallas Stars
After 1 or More Days Off43-33, 57% -5672After 1 or More Days Off47-30, 61% -4555Dallas Stars

PAST 30 DAYS

Colorado AvalancheRECORDDallas StarsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-5, 38% -348Record at Home4-4, 50% -25Dallas Stars
VS Dallas Stars2-4, 33% -286VS Colorado Avalanche4-2, 67% 285Dallas Stars
vs Team Under .5003-5, 38% -338vs Team .500 or Better0-5, 0% -500Colorado Avalanche
Record as Road Favorite3-5, 38% -348Record as Home Underdog3-0, 100% 339Dallas Stars
After 1 or More Days Off4-7, 36% -917After 1 or More Days Off5-8, 38% -351Dallas Stars

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Colorado AvalancheRECORDDallas StarsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-19, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME25-19, 57% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-1, 88% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-15, 52% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-15, 44% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home37-29, 56% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road37-29, 56% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 30-14, 68% -135 Dallas Stars Home Games: 26-18, 59% +314 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 6-2, 75% +139 Dallas Stars Home Games: 7-1, 88% +729

MONEY LINE - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 26-18, 59% +82 Dallas Stars Home Games: 28-16, 64% +-94 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 3-5, 38% -348 Dallas Stars Home Games: 2-6, 25% -452

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 24-20, 55% + 184 Dallas Stars Home Games: 18-26, 41% -962 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 6-2, 75% + 346 Dallas Stars Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 346

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