May 10, 2025 9:31 AM EST

NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers 5/11/2025

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The Florida Panthers are solid 58.6 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Panthers are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +10 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 34 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.4% compared to the Panthers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.8%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Joseph Woll 30, Sergei Bobrovsky 21 SHOTS: Auston Matthews 4.1, Carter Verhaeghe 3.4 GOALS: William Nylander 0.53, Sam Reinhart 0.56 PTS: Mitch Marner has a 64% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Aleksander Barkov has a 56% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDFlorida PanthersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road27-18, 60% 640Record at Home29-15, 66% 166Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Florida Panthers3-4, 43% -41VS Toronto Maple Leafs4-3, 57% -30Florida Panthers
vs Team .500 or Better22-20, 52% 266vs Team .500 or Better23-18, 56% 40Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog12-9, 57% 491Record As Home Favorite27-15, 64% -18Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off48-27, 64% -3840After 1 or More Days Off45-31, 59% -4984Toronto Maple Leafs

PAST 30 DAYS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDFlorida PanthersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-2, 67% 177Record at Home4-2, 67% 2Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Florida Panthers2-1, 67% 175VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-2, 33% -162Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team .500 or Better8-3, 73% 490vs Team .500 or Better2-3, 40% -217Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog2-2, 50% 26Record As Home Favorite4-2, 67% 2Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off9-3, 75% -321After 1 or More Days Off7-4, 64% -695Toronto Maple Leafs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDFlorida PanthersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD27-18, 60% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME24-22, 52% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-1, 83% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-12, 60% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home36-31, 54% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road34-36, 49% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 24-21, 53% -267 Florida Panthers Home Games: 20-24, 45% -270 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 3-3, 50% -74 Florida Panthers Home Games: 2-4, 33% -148

MONEY LINE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 24-21, 53% -205 Florida Panthers Home Games: 29-15, 66% 386 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 3-3, 50% -70 Florida Panthers Home Games: 4-2, 67% +49

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 23-22, 51% -107 Florida Panthers Home Games: 27-17, 61% + 757 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 3-3, 50% -27 Florida Panthers Home Games: 5-1, 83% + 355

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