April 29, 2025 3:55 AM EST

NHL: Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 4/29/2025

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are heavy 65.3 percent favorites over the Ottawa Senators. The Maple Leafs are favored despite being projected for 26 shots on goal vs 28 shots for the Senators. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 92.4% compared to the Senators goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.7%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Linus Ullmark 23, Anthony Stolarz 26 SHOTS: Brady Tkachuk 4.3, Auston Matthews 4.3 GOALS: Brady Tkachuk 0.3, William Nylander 0.56 PTS: Tim Stutzle has a 46% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Mitch Marner has a 65% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Maple Leafs

Ottawa SenatorsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road18-25, 42% -554Record at Home29-14, 67% 531Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs4-3, 57% 158VS Ottawa Senators3-4, 43% -184Ottawa Senators
vs Team .500 or Better18-21, 46% -118vs Team .500 or Better22-18, 55% 408Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog12-19, 39% -394Record As Home Favorite25-13, 66% 185Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off38-34, 53% -3380After 1 or More Days Off45-25, 64% -4016Ottawa Senators

PAST 30 DAYS

Ottawa SenatorsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road0-4, 0% -400Record at Home6-0, 100% 379Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-3, 25% -212VS Ottawa Senators3-1, 75% 116Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team .500 or Better3-6, 33% -393vs Team .500 or Better7-1, 88% 346Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog0-2, 0% -200Record As Home Favorite6-0, 100% 379Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off6-6, 50% -666After 1 or More Days Off8-2, 80% -730Ottawa Senators

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Ottawa SenatorsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-24, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME25-18, 58% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-2, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-5, 29% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON14-11, 56% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home31-36, 46% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road32-31, 51% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 19-24, 44% -299 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 26-17, 60% +749 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 3-1, 75% +298 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-2, 67% +74

MONEY LINE - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 22-21, 51% -572 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 30-13, 70% 794 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 3-1, 75% +152 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 6-0, 100% +379

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 26-17, 60% + 666 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 27-16, 63% + 857 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 2-2, 50% -18 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-2, 67% + 164

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