April 28, 2025 1:34 PM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers 4/28/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are slight 52.2 percent favorites over the Florida Panthers. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 24 shots on goal vs 33 shots for the Panthers. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.7% compared to the Panthers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 30, Sergei Bobrovsky 21 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.6, Carter Verhaeghe 3.4 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.57, Sam Reinhart 0.52 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 72% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Aleksander Barkov has a 54% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Florida Panthers

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDFlorida PanthersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road19-23, 45% -607Record at Home27-15, 64% 59Florida Panthers
VS Florida Panthers3-4, 43% -91VS Tampa Bay Lightning4-3, 57% 52Florida Panthers
vs Team .500 or Better19-21, 48% -370vs Team .500 or Better21-18, 54% -60Florida Panthers
Record As Road Underdog10-11, 48% -27Record As Home Favorite25-15, 62% -125Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off42-31, 58% -4639After 1 or More Days Off42-29, 59% -4580Florida Panthers

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDFlorida PanthersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-3, 50% -17Record at Home3-3, 50% -130Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Florida Panthers2-2, 50% -3VS Tampa Bay Lightning2-2, 50% -2Florida Panthers
vs Team Under .5004-2, 67% 140vs Team Under .5002-2, 50% -2Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog2-1, 67% 108Record As Home Favorite3-3, 50% -130Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off6-7, 46% -945After 1 or More Days Off5-5, 50% -666Florida Panthers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDFlorida PanthersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD21-21, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME21-22, 49% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-5, 29% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-12, 60% OverN/A
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home34-30, 53% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road29-36, 45% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 16-26, 38% -1869 Florida Panthers Home Games: 20-22, 48% -70 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-3, 50% -184 Florida Panthers Home Games: 3-3, 50% +108

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 17-25, 40% -1066 Florida Panthers Home Games: 28-14, 67% 448 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-3, 50% -17 Florida Panthers Home Games: 4-2, 67% +86

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 22-20, 52% + 2 Florida Panthers Home Games: 25-17, 60% + 575 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-3, 50% -27 Florida Panthers Home Games: 5-1, 83% + 355

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