April 26, 2025 4:03 AM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers 4/26/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are slight 53.4 percent favorites over the Florida Panthers. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 25 shots on goal vs 33 shots for the Panthers. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.9% compared to the Panthers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.2%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 30, Sergei Bobrovsky 22 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.6, Carter Verhaeghe 3.3 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.57, Sam Reinhart 0.53 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 71% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Aleksander Barkov has a 54% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Florida Panthers

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDFlorida PanthersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road18-23, 44% -723Record at Home27-14, 66% 159Florida Panthers
VS Florida Panthers2-4, 33% -207VS Tampa Bay Lightning4-2, 67% 152Florida Panthers
vs Team .500 or Better18-21, 46% -486vs Team .500 or Better21-17, 55% 40Florida Panthers
Record As Road Underdog9-11, 45% -143Record As Home Favorite25-14, 64% -25Florida Panthers
After 1 or More Days Off41-31, 57% -4755After 1 or More Days Off42-28, 60% -4480Florida Panthers

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDFlorida PanthersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-3, 40% -133Record at Home4-2, 67% 14Florida Panthers
VS Florida Panthers1-2, 33% -119VS Tampa Bay Lightning2-1, 67% 98Florida Panthers
vs Team Under .5003-2, 60% 24vs Team .500 or Better4-6, 40% -386Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog1-1, 50% -8Record As Home Favorite4-2, 67% 14Florida Panthers
After 1 or More Days Off6-7, 46% -1110After 1 or More Days Off6-4, 60% -610Florida Panthers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDFlorida PanthersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD20-21, 49% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME21-22, 49% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-4, 20% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-5, 29% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-12, 60% OverN/A
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home33-30, 52% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road28-36, 44% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 15-26, 37% -1985 Florida Panthers Home Games: 19-22, 46% -186 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-3, 40% -300 Florida Panthers Home Games: 2-4, 33% -108

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 16-25, 39% -1182 Florida Panthers Home Games: 27-14, 66% 332 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-3, 40% -133 Florida Panthers Home Games: 4-2, 67% +14

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 21-20, 51% -89 Florida Panthers Home Games: 24-17, 59% + 484 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-3, 40% -118 Florida Panthers Home Games: 5-1, 83% + 355

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