April 23, 2025 5:32 AM EST

NHL: Montreal Canadiens vs. Washington Capitals 4/23/2025

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The Washington Capitals are heavy 69.4 percent favorites over the Montreal Canadiens. The Capitals are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +6 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 23 shots for the Canadiens. The Capitals goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.2% compared to the Canadiens goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Sam Montembeault 26, Logan Thompson 21 SHOTS: Cole Caufield 3.4, Alex Ovechkin 3.7 GOALS: Cole Caufield 0.57, Alex Ovechkin 0.65 PTS: Nick Suzuki has a 51% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Dylan Strome has a 54% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Capitals

Montreal CanadiensRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road17-25, 40% -1Record at Home27-15, 64% 456Washington Capitals
VS Washington Capitals1-3, 25% -138VS Montreal Canadiens3-1, 75% 83Washington Capitals
vs Team .500 or Better18-23, 44% 550vs Team .500 or Better20-16, 56% 615Washington Capitals
Record As Road Underdog16-22, 42% 245Record As Home Favorite19-11, 63% 10Montreal Canadiens
After 1 or More Days Off33-35, 49% -480After 1 or More Days Off45-25, 64% -2560Montreal Canadiens

PAST 30 DAYS

Montreal CanadiensRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-6, 25% -346Record at Home3-2, 60% -9Washington Capitals
VS Washington Capitals0-1, 0% -100VS Montreal Canadiens1-0, 100% 58Washington Capitals
vs Team Under .5005-3, 62% 270vs Team .500 or Better1-5, 17% -442Montreal Canadiens
Record As Road Underdog2-5, 29% -246Record As Home Favorite2-2, 50% -110Washington Capitals
After 1 or More Days Off6-5, 55% -274After 1 or More Days Off5-6, 45% -710Montreal Canadiens

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Montreal CanadiensRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-17, 60% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME22-19, 54% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-5, 38% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-3, 62% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-19, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-9, 64% OverN/A
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home36-27, 57% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road37-26, 59% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 16-26, 38% +2 Washington Capitals Home Games: 21-21, 50% -454 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 4-4, 50% -80 Washington Capitals Home Games: 3-2, 60% -9

MONEY LINE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 23-19, 55% -442 Washington Capitals Home Games: 25-17, 60% +-36 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 6-2, 75% +181 Washington Capitals Home Games: 3-2, 60% -9

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 15-27, 36% -1335 Washington Capitals Home Games: 16-26, 38% -1144 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 4-4, 50% -36 Washington Capitals Home Games: 1-4, 20% -309

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