The Toronto Maple Leafs are solid 61.2 percent favorites over the Ottawa Senators. The Maple Leafs are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +1 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 28 shots on goal vs 27 shots for the Senators. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91.6% compared to the Senators goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.8%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Linus Ullmark 25, Joseph Woll 25 SHOTS: Brady Tkachuk 4.3, Auston Matthews 4.3 GOALS: Brady Tkachuk 0.32, Auston Matthews 0.51 PTS: Tim Stutzle has a 48% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Mitch Marner has a 64% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Maple Leafs
| Ottawa Senators | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-23, 44% -354 | Record at Home | 27-14, 66% 406 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| VS Toronto Maple Leafs | 3-0, 100% 370 | VS Ottawa Senators | 0-3, 0% -300 | Ottawa Senators |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 17-18, 49% 94 | vs Team .500 or Better | 19-17, 53% 292 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 12-17, 41% -194 | Record As Home Favorite | 23-13, 64% 60 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 37-31, 54% -2992 | After 1 or More Days Off | 42-24, 64% -3700 | Ottawa Senators |
PAST 30 DAYS
| Ottawa Senators | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-3, 40% -115 | Record at Home | 5-0, 100% 302 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| VS Toronto Maple Leafs | 0-0 No Games | VS Ottawa Senators | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-5, 44% -194 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-0, 100% 423 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-0, 100% 101 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-0, 100% 302 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 8-5, 62% -510 | After 1 or More Days Off | 7-3, 70% -555 | Ottawa Senators |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Ottawa Senators | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-23, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 24-17, 59% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-3, 40% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 14-11, 56% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 13-15, 46% Over | OVER |
| Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home | 29-34, 46% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 31-30, 51% OVER | UNDER |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 18-23, 44% -358 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 25-16, 61% +781 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 3-2, 60% +259 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-2, 60% +6
MONEY LINE - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 20-21, 49% -697 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 28-13, 68% 669 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 2-3, 40% -41 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 5-0, 100% +302
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 25-16, 61% + 675 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 26-15, 63% + 866 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 73 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-2, 60% + 73
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