April 11, 2025 5:19 AM EST

NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina Hurricanes 4/13/2025

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The Carolina Hurricanes are solid 55.6 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Hurricanes are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +6 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 31 shots on goal vs 25 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.4% compared to the Hurricanes goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.3%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Joseph Woll 28, Pyotr Kochetkov 22 SHOTS: Auston Matthews 4.4, Sebastian Aho 2.8 GOALS: William Nylander 0.5, Seth Jarvis 0.55 PTS: Mitch Marner has a 62% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Sebastian Aho has a 53% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDCarolina HurricanesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road22-15, 59% 429Record at Home30-9, 77% 700Carolina Hurricanes
VS Carolina Hurricanes1-1, 50% 5VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-1, 50% -39Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team .500 or Better17-16, 52% 133vs Team .500 or Better16-16, 50% -434Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog9-6, 60% 431Record As Home Favorite30-9, 77% 700Carolina Hurricanes
After 1 or More Days Off39-23, 63% -3419After 1 or More Days Off37-24, 61% -4328Toronto Maple Leafs

PAST 30 DAYS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDCarolina HurricanesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-2, 60% 65Record at Home4-1, 80% 95Carolina Hurricanes
VS Carolina Hurricanes0-0 No GamesVS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better2-1, 67% 144vs Team .500 or Better2-1, 67% 6Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog2-1, 67% 116Record As Home Favorite4-1, 80% 95Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off6-4, 60% -387After 1 or More Days Off5-3, 62% -526Toronto Maple Leafs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDCarolina HurricanesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD23-14, 62% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-20, 44% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-3, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON19-11, 63% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home28-26, 52% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road27-27, 50% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 20-17, 54% -195 Carolina Hurricanes Home Games: 16-23, 41% -1451 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 4-1, 80% +294

MONEY LINE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 21-16, 57% +58 Carolina Hurricanes Home Games: 25-14, 64% +-153 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 3-2, 60% +65 Carolina Hurricanes Home Games: 3-2, 60% -76

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 18-19, 49% -262 Carolina Hurricanes Home Games: 27-12, 69% + 1257 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 73 Carolina Hurricanes Home Games: 2-3, 40% -118

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