The Tampa Bay Lightning are heavy 73.9 percent favorites over the Buffalo Sabres. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +3 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 27 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Sabres. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.2% compared to the Sabres goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 85.9%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: UkkoPekka Luukkonen 23, Andrei Vasilevskiy 22 SHOTS: Tage Thompson 3.3, Nikita Kucherov 3.7 GOALS: Tage Thompson 0.49, Brayden Point 0.6 PTS: Rasmus Dahlin has a 48% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 76% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Buffalo Sabres
| Buffalo Sabres | RECORD | Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 13-25, 34% -847 | Record at Home | 26-10, 72% 650 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 1-1, 50% 59 | VS Buffalo Sabres | 1-1, 50% -51 | Buffalo Sabres |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 17-18, 49% 507 | vs Team .500 or Better | 16-18, 47% -379 | Buffalo Sabres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-21, 32% -665 | Record As Home Favorite | 24-8, 75% 651 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 29-35, 45% -1777 | After 1 or More Days Off | 37-26, 59% -4149 | Buffalo Sabres |
PAST 30 DAYS
| Buffalo Sabres | RECORD | Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-4, 50% 271 | Record at Home | 4-0, 100% 210 | Buffalo Sabres |
| VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 1-0, 100% 159 | VS Buffalo Sabres | 0-1, 0% -100 | Buffalo Sabres |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-1, 88% 1029 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-4, 43% -189 | Buffalo Sabres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 371 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-0, 100% 210 | Buffalo Sabres |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 6-4, 60% +422 | After 1 or More Days Off | 7-4, 64% -622 | Buffalo Sabres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Buffalo Sabres | RECORD | Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 25-13, 66% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 19-20, 49% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-2, 75% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-4, 50% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 16-12, 57% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 18-18, 50% Over | OVER |
| Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home | 37-19, 66% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 27-27, 50% OVER | OVER |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 21-17, 55% +94 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 22-14, 61% +101 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 5-3, 62% +167 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-1, 75% +70
MONEY LINE - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 24-14, 63% +203 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 24-12, 67% 282 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 4-4, 50% -89 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 4-0, 100% +210
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 15-23, 39% -935 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 16-20, 44% -544 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 3-5, 38% -227 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 0-4, 0% -400
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