The Toronto Maple Leafs are solid 56.8 percent favorites over the Montreal Canadiens. The Maple Leafs are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 27 shots on goal vs 25 shots for the Canadiens. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.4% compared to the Canadiens goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.7%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Sam Montembeault 24, Joseph Woll 22 SHOTS: Cole Caufield 3.3, Auston Matthews 4.3 GOALS: Patrik Laine 0.56, Auston Matthews 0.58 PTS: Nick Suzuki has a 50% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Mitch Marner has a 65% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Montreal Canadiens
| Montreal Canadiens | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 16-22, 42% 201 | Record at Home | 25-14, 64% 285 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| VS Toronto Maple Leafs | 1-2, 33% -70 | VS Montreal Canadiens | 2-1, 67% -4 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 17-20, 46% 723 | vs Team .500 or Better | 17-16, 52% 133 | Montreal Canadiens |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-19, 44% 447 | Record As Home Favorite | 21-13, 62% -61 | Montreal Canadiens |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 31-32, 49% -232 | After 1 or More Days Off | 39-23, 63% -3419 | Montreal Canadiens |
PAST 30 DAYS
| Montreal Canadiens | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 1-5, 17% -344 | Record at Home | 5-2, 71% 168 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| VS Toronto Maple Leafs | 0-0 No Games | VS Montreal Canadiens | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 1-3, 25% -175 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-1, 67% 144 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-4, 20% -244 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-1, 80% 131 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 6-4, 60% +38 | After 1 or More Days Off | 6-4, 60% -387 | Montreal Canadiens |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Montreal Canadiens | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 24-14, 63% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 23-14, 62% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-2, 67% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-2, 60% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 16-19, 46% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 13-15, 46% Over | UNDER |
| Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home | 35-23, 60% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 28-26, 52% OVER | OVER |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 14-24, 37% +144 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 22-17, 56% +260 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 2-4, 33% -82 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-3, 57% +20
MONEY LINE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 19-19, 50% -707 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 25-14, 64% 323 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 3-3, 50% -105 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-3, 57% -69
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 13-25, 34% -1317 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 25-14, 64% + 875 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 2-4, 33% -218 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 255
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