April 11, 2025 5:19 AM EST

NHL: Montreal Canadiens vs. Ottawa Senators 4/11/2025

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The Ottawa Senators are slight 50.9 percent favorites over the Montreal Canadiens. The Senators are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 28 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Canadiens. The Canadiens goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91% compared to the Senators goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 90.4%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Sam Montembeault 26, Leevi Merilainen 24 SHOTS: Cole Caufield 3.3, Brady Tkachuk 4.4 GOALS: Patrik Laine 0.46, Brady Tkachuk 0.37 PTS: Nick Suzuki has a 48% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Tim Stutzle has a 53% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Montreal Canadiens

Montreal CanadiensRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road16-22, 42% 201Record at Home23-13, 64% 568Ottawa Senators
VS Ottawa Senators3-0, 100% 391VS Montreal Canadiens0-3, 0% -300Montreal Canadiens
vs Team .500 or Better17-20, 46% 723vs Team .500 or Better16-18, 47% 9Montreal Canadiens
Record As Road Underdog15-19, 44% 447Record As Home Favorite15-9, 62% 96Montreal Canadiens
After 1 or More Days Off31-32, 49% -232After 1 or More Days Off34-29, 54% -2593Montreal Canadiens

PAST 30 DAYS

Montreal CanadiensRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-5, 17% -344Record at Home4-2, 67% 127Ottawa Senators
VS Ottawa Senators1-0, 100% 125VS Montreal Canadiens0-1, 0% -100Montreal Canadiens
vs Team .500 or Better1-3, 25% -175vs Team .500 or Better3-5, 38% -172Ottawa Senators
Record As Road Underdog1-4, 20% -244Record As Home Favorite2-1, 67% 6Ottawa Senators
After 1 or More Days Off6-4, 60% +38After 1 or More Days Off7-4, 64% -156Montreal Canadiens

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Montreal CanadiensRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD24-14, 63% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-23, 42% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-4, 33% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-19, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON14-11, 56% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home35-23, 60% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road26-33, 44% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 14-24, 37% +144 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 18-18, 50% -9 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 2-4, 33% -82 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 3-3, 50% +50

MONEY LINE - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 19-19, 50% -707 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 18-18, 50% +-478 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 3-3, 50% -105 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 3-3, 50% -106

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 13-25, 34% -1317 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 15-21, 42% -735 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Montreal Canadiens Road Games: 2-4, 33% -218 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 3-3, 50% -27

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