March 31, 2025 6:12 AM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders 4/1/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are solid 62.2 percent favorites over the New York Islanders. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 28 shots for the Islanders. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.8% compared to the Islanders goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.9%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 25, Ilya Sorokin 26 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.7, Bo Horvat 3.2 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.53, Anders Lee 0.43 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 69% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Noah Dobson has a 41% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Islanders

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDNew York IslandersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road16-20, 44% -590Record at Home17-19, 47% -379New York Islanders
VS New York Islanders1-1, 50% -32VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-1, 50% 26New York Islanders
vs Team Under .50026-13, 67% 339vs Team .500 or Better14-19, 42% -221Tampa Bay Lightning
Record as Road Favorite8-10, 44% -455Record as Home Underdog4-7, 36% -152New York Islanders
After 1 or More Days Off36-24, 60% -3874After 1 or More Days Off28-34, 45% -3270New York Islanders

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDNew York IslandersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-5, 38% -253Record at Home4-4, 50% 39New York Islanders
VS New York Islanders1-0, 100% 68VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-1, 0% -100Tampa Bay Lightning
vs Team Under .5007-3, 70% 69vs Team .500 or Better2-4, 33% -124Tampa Bay Lightning
Record as Road Favorite1-2, 33% -154Record as Home Underdog2-1, 67% 176New York Islanders
After 1 or More Days Off8-5, 62% -788After 1 or More Days Off5-7, 42% -881Tampa Bay Lightning

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDNew York IslandersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-17, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-18, 51% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-3, 57% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-24, 33% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home27-24, 53% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road29-23, 56% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 14-22, 39% -1467 New York Islanders Home Games: 19-17, 53% +207 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-7, 12% -591 New York Islanders Home Games: 4-4, 50% +86

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 14-22, 39% -1049 New York Islanders Home Games: 17-19, 47% +-599 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-6, 25% -445 New York Islanders Home Games: 2-6, 25% -414

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 19-17, 53% + 29 New York Islanders Home Games: 15-21, 42% -735 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 4-4, 50% -36 New York Islanders Home Games: 2-6, 25% -418

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