March 26, 2025 3:54 AM EST

NHL: Utah HC vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 3/27/2025

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Tampa Bay Lightning are heavy 66.8 percent favorites over the Utah HC. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 28 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Utah. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.2% compared to the Utah goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Karel Vejmelka 24, Andrei Vasilevskiy 24 SHOTS: Clayton Keller 2.8, Nikita Kucherov 3.7 GOALS: Dylan Guenther 0.4, Brayden Point 0.6 PTS: Clayton Keller has a 52% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 72% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning

Utah HCRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road16-19, 46% -64Record at Home24-10, 71% 533Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-0, 100% 105VS Utah HC0-1, 0% -100Utah HC
vs Team .500 or Better10-26, 28% -1340vs Team Under .50024-13, 65% 222Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog12-15, 44% 51Record As Home Favorite22-8, 73% 534Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off27-34, 44% -2906After 1 or More Days Off34-24, 59% -3757Utah HC

PAST 30 DAYS

Utah HCRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-3, 40% -104Record at Home6-1, 86% 254Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-0, 100% 105VS Utah HC0-1, 0% -100Utah HC
vs Team .500 or Better2-2, 50% -11vs Team .500 or Better4-4, 50% -51Utah HC
Record As Road Underdog1-1, 50% 12Record As Home Favorite5-1, 83% 154Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off7-5, 58% -580After 1 or More Days Off8-5, 62% -619Utah HC

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Utah HCRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD20-15, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-17, 53% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-1, 80% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-10, 62% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home31-22, 58% OVEROpp Averages <2.8 G on Road10-10, 50% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Utah HC Road Games: 13-22, 37% -706 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 20-14, 59% -16 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Utah HC Road Games: 1-4, 20% -277 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 5-2, 71% +114

MONEY LINE - Utah HC Road Games: 18-17, 51% -474 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 22-12, 65% 165 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Utah HC Road Games: 3-2, 60% +54 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 6-1, 86% +254

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Utah HC Road Games: 16-19, 46% -444 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 16-18, 47% -344 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Utah HC Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 73 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 2-5, 29% -318

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW