The Tampa Bay Lightning are heavy 70.6 percent favorites over the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +1 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 28 shots on goal vs 27 shots for the Penguins. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.9% compared to the Penguins goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 86.9%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Joel Blomqvist 24, Andrei Vasilevskiy 25 SHOTS: Sidney Crosby 3.1, Nikita Kucherov 3.7 GOALS: Bryan Rust 0.41, Brayden Point 0.57 PTS: Sidney Crosby has a 54% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 75% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning
| Pittsburgh Penguins | RECORD | Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-23, 32% -950 | Record at Home | 23-10, 70% 480 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Pittsburgh Penguins | 2-0, 100% 155 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 10-22, 31% -903 | vs Team Under .500 | 23-13, 64% 169 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record As Road Underdog | 9-19, 32% -683 | Record As Home Favorite | 21-8, 72% 481 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 23-35, 40% -2500 | After 1 or More Days Off | 33-24, 58% -3704 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
PAST 30 DAYS
| Pittsburgh Penguins | RECORD | Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 1-3, 25% -177 | Record at Home | 6-1, 86% 249 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 0-0 No Games | VS Pittsburgh Penguins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-5, 38% -114 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-3, 50% -51 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-3, 25% -177 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-1, 83% 149 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 6-6, 50% -256 | After 1 or More Days Off | 8-5, 62% -614 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Pittsburgh Penguins | RECORD | Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 15-19, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 18-17, 51% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-3, 25% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-4, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 19-12, 61% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 18-18, 50% Over | OVER |
| Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home | 30-21, 59% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 24-23, 51% OVER | OVER |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 22-12, 65% +1285 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 19-14, 58% -69 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 3-1, 75% +169 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 4-3, 57% -39
MONEY LINE - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 20-14, 59% -121 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 21-12, 64% 112 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 2-2, 50% -120 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 6-1, 86% +249
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 21-13, 62% + 611 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 16-17, 48% -244 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 3-1, 75% + 173 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 2-5, 29% -318
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