March 23, 2025 9:35 AM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Vegas Golden Knights 3/23/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are solid 55.3 percent favorites over the Vegas Golden Knights. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 27 shots on goal vs 28 shots for the Golden Knights. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.5% compared to the Golden Knights goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.5%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 26, Ilya Samsonov 24 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.7, Jack Eichel 3.5 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.57, Pavel Dorofeyev 0.39 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 72% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Jack Eichel has a 60% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Vegas Golden Knights

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDVegas Golden KnightsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road16-19, 46% -490Record at Home26-10, 72% 566Vegas Golden Knights
VS Vegas Golden Knights1-0, 100% 84VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-1, 0% -100Tampa Bay Lightning
vs Team .500 or Better16-16, 50% -179vs Team .500 or Better17-15, 53% -119Vegas Golden Knights
Record As Road Underdog8-9, 47% -35Record As Home Favorite23-9, 72% 375Vegas Golden Knights
Playing Back-to-Back Days6-5, 55% -534Playing Back-to-Back Days5-4, 56% -725Tampa Bay Lightning

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDVegas Golden KnightsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-4, 43% -153Record at Home7-1, 88% 276Vegas Golden Knights
VS Vegas Golden Knights0-0 No GamesVS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-3, 50% -51vs Team .500 or Better1-2, 33% -116Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog2-2, 50% 1Record As Home Favorite7-1, 88% 276Vegas Golden Knights
After 1 or More Days Off8-5, 62% -614After 1 or More Days Off8-4, 67% -835Tampa Bay Lightning

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDVegas Golden KnightsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD18-17, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-16, 52% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-3, 40% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-19, 46% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home24-23, 51% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road26-20, 57% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 14-21, 40% -1367 Vegas Golden Knights Home Games: 25-11, 69% +878 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-6, 14% -491 Vegas Golden Knights Home Games: 4-4, 50% -144

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 14-21, 40% -949 Vegas Golden Knights Home Games: 26-10, 72% 566 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-5, 29% -345 Vegas Golden Knights Home Games: 7-1, 88% +276

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 18-17, 51% -62 Vegas Golden Knights Home Games: 24-12, 67% + 984 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-4, 43% -127 Vegas Golden Knights Home Games: 4-4, 50% -36

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