January 18, 2022 10:03 AM CST

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs 1/23/2022

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The Kansas City Chiefs are a solid favorite with a 61% chance to beat the Buffalo Bills. Clyde Edwards-Helaire is projected for 64 rushing yards and a 54% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 39% of simulations where Buffalo Bills wins, Josh Allen averages 2.82 TD passes vs 0.49 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 2.12 TDs to 0.91 interceptions. Devin Singletary averages 72 rushing yards and 0.63 rushing TDs when Buffalo Bills wins and 40 yards and 0.28 TDs in losses. The Kansas City Chiefs has a 47% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games9-8-1All Games9-9-0Buffalo Bills
Road Games5-3-0Home Games5-5-0Buffalo Bills
When Underdog2-1-0When Favored9-9-0Buffalo Bills
Non-Division Opp5-6-0Non-Division Opp5-7-0Buffalo Bills
Opp .500+ Record4-4-0Opp .500+ Record5-4-0Kansas City Chiefs

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games9-7-1All Games13-6-0Kansas City Chiefs
Road Games6-2-1Home Games6-4-0Buffalo Bills
When Underdog5-4-1When Favored11-5-0Kansas City Chiefs
Non-Division Opp6-4-1Non-Division Opp7-6-0Buffalo Bills
Opp .500+ Record4-1-0Opp .500+ Record4-5-0Buffalo Bills


Buffalo BillsO-U-P RECORDKansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)9-9-0All Totals (O-U-P)10-8-0OVER
On Road5-3-0At Home4-6-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season4-13-0All Totals Last Season10-8-1UNDER
On Road Last Season2-7-0At Home Last Season7-2-1No Edge

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