September 25, 2023 9:30 AM EST

Virginia vs Boston College 9/30/2023

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Virginia winning 54% of simulations, and Boston College 46% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Virginia commits fewer turnovers in 26% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. Boston College wins 56% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Perris Jones is averaging 51 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Pat Garwo III is averaging 52 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (15% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BC -2.5 --- Over/Under line is 56

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

VirginiaATS RECORDBoston CollegeATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3/1/2000All Games1/2/2000Virginia
Road & Neutral Field1/1/2000Home Games1/1/2000No Edge
When Underdog3/1/2000When Favored0-1-0Virginia
Conference Opp1-0-0Conference Opp1/1/2000Virginia
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp Under .5000-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

VirginiaATS RECORDBoston CollegeATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4/5/2001All Games4/7/2000Virginia
Road & Neutral Field3/1/2000Home Games3/2/2000Virginia
When Underdog4/3/2001When Favored0-2-0Virginia
Conference Opp3/3/2001Conference Opp4/4/2000No Edge
Opp Under .5001/1/2001Opp Under .5000-2-0Virginia

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

VirginiaO-U-P RECORDBoston CollegeO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3/1/2000All Totals (O-U-P)3-0-0OVER
On Road2-0-0At Home2-0-0OVER
All Totals Last Season2/6/2001All Totals Last Season3/7/2001UNDER
On Road Last Season1/3/2000At Home Last Season3/2/2000UNDER

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