AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Texas State winning 57% of simulations, and Southern Miss 43% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Texas State commits fewer turnovers in 25% of simulations and they go on to win 71% when they take care of the ball. Southern Miss wins 55% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Malik Hornsby is averaging 250 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 76%. JQ Gray is averaging 107 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 57%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SMISS +7 --- Over/Under line is 62.5
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Texas State | ATS RECORD | Southern Miss | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 2/1/2000 | All Games | 0-3-0 | Texas State |
| Road & Neutral Field | 2-0-0 | Home Games | 0-1-0 | Texas State |
| When Favored | 0-1-0 | When Underdog | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 2/1/2000 | Non-Conference Opp | 0-3-0 | Texas State |
| Opp Under .500 | 1/1/2000 | Opp .500+ Record | 0-2-0 | Texas State |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Texas State | ATS RECORD | Southern Miss | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 4/6/2000 | All Games | 7/4/2000 | Southern Miss |
| Road & Neutral Field | 2/4/2000 | Home Games | 3/3/2000 | Southern Miss |
| When Favored | 1/1/2000 | When Underdog | 5/1/2000 | Southern Miss |
| Non-Conference Opp | 1/3/2000 | Non-Conference Opp | 6/4/2000 | Southern Miss |
| Opp Under .500 | 1/3/2000 | Opp Under .500 | 1/2/2000 | Southern Miss |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Texas State | O-U-P RECORD | Southern Miss | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 1/2/2000 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-0-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 1/1/2000 | At Home | 1-0-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 4/6/2000 | All Totals Last Season | 4/6/2000 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 3/3/2000 | At Home Last Season | 4/1/2000 | OVER |
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