AccuScore is forecasting a close game with South Florida winning 50% of simulations, and Navy 50% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. South Florida commits fewer turnovers in 16% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. Navy wins 59% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Nay\'Quan Wright is averaging 76 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (23% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. Fabian France is averaging 83 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NAVY -4 --- Over/Under line is 53
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| South Florida | ATS RECORD | Navy | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 2/1/2000 | All Games | 1/1/2000 | South Florida |
| Road & Neutral Field | 0-1-0 | Home Games | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 2/1/2000 | When Favored | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 1-0-0 | Conference Opp | 1-0-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| South Florida | ATS RECORD | Navy | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 5/6/2000 | All Games | 7/3/2000 | Navy |
| Road & Neutral Field | 4/2/2000 | Home Games | 2/3/2000 | South Florida |
| When Underdog | 5/5/2000 | When Favored | 0-1-0 | South Florida |
| Conference Opp | 1/4/2000 | Conference Opp | 3/2/2000 | Navy |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4/2/2000 | Opp Under .500 | 2/2/2000 | South Florida |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| South Florida | O-U-P RECORD | Navy | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 1/2/2000 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 1/1/2000 | UNDER |
| On Road | 0-1-0 | At Home | 0-0-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 7/3/2001 | All Totals Last Season | 6/3/2001 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 3/2/2001 | At Home Last Season | 4-0-1 | OVER |
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