September 25, 2023 9:30 AM EST

Notre Dame vs Duke 9/30/2023

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Notre Dame is a solid favorite with a 70% chance to beat Duke. Devyn Ford is projected for 57 rushing yards and a 39% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 30% of simulations where Duke wins, Riley Leonard averages 1.1 TD passes vs 0.26 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.61 TDs to 0.37 interceptions. Jordan Waters averages 80 rushing yards and 1.72 rushing TDs when Duke wins and 66 yards and 0.95 TDs in losses. Notre Dame has a 26% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is DUKE +5.5 --- Over/Under line is 51

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Notre DameATS RECORDDukeATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3/1/2000All Games3-0-0Duke
Road & Neutral Field1-0-0Home Games2-0-0No Edge
When Favored2/1/2000When Underdog1-0-0Duke
Non-Conference Opp3/1/2000Non-Conference Opp2-0-0Duke
Opp .500+ Record2-0-0Opp .500+ Record1-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Notre DameATS RECORDDukeATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7/6/2000All Games8/4/2000Duke
Road & Neutral Field4/2/2000Home Games5/1/2000Duke
When Favored2/5/2000When Underdog5-0-0Duke
Non-Conference Opp7/6/2000Non-Conference Opp2/2/2000Notre Dame
Opp .500+ Record4/5/2000Opp .500+ Record6/1/2000Duke

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Notre DameO-U-P RECORDDukeO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2/2/2000All Totals (O-U-P)1/1/2001No Edge
On Road1-0-0At Home1/1/2000OVER
All Totals Last Season7/4/2002All Totals Last Season5/6/2001OVER
On Road Last Season5/1/2000At Home Last Season2/4/2000OVER

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