September 25, 2023 9:30 AM EST

Northern Illinois vs Toledo 9/30/2023

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Toledo is a heavy favorite winning 85% of simulations over Northern Illinois. Dequan Finn is averaging 177 passing yards and 1.8 TDs per simulation and Peny Boone is projected for 119 rushing yards and a 61% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 15% of simulations where Northern Illinois wins, Rocky Lombardi averages 0.94 TD passes vs 0.43 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.44 TDs to 0.68 interceptions. Antario Brown averages 79 rushing yards and 1.18 rushing TDs when Northern Illinois wins and 67 yards and 0.57 TDs in losses. Toledo has a 31% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TOL -14 --- Over/Under line is 50

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Northern IllinoisATS RECORDToledoATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1/2/2000All Games1/2/2000No Edge
Road & Neutral Field1/1/2000Home Games0-2-0Northern Illinois
When Underdog1/1/2000When Favored0-2-0Northern Illinois
Conference Opp0-0-0Conference Opp0-1-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record0-0-0Opp Under .5000-2-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Northern IllinoisATS RECORDToledoATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3/8/2000All Games5/8/2000Toledo
Road & Neutral Field3/3/2000Home Games3/3/2000No Edge
When Underdog2/1/2000When Favored5/7/2000Northern Illinois
Conference Opp2/6/2000Conference Opp4/5/2000Toledo
Opp .500+ Record1/4/2000Opp Under .5004/2/2000Toledo

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Northern IllinoisO-U-P RECORDToledoO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1/1/2001All Totals (O-U-P)2/1/2000OVER
On Road1-0-1At Home1/1/2000OVER
All Totals Last Season7/4/2000All Totals Last Season5/7/2000OVER
On Road Last Season2/4/2000At Home Last Season3/2/2000UNDER

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