September 25, 2023 9:30 AM EST

Michigan State vs Iowa 9/30/2023

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Iowa is a solid favorite with a 72% chance to beat Michigan State. Kaleb Johnson is projected for 98 rushing yards and a 56% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 28% of simulations where Michigan State wins, Noah Kim averages 1.24 TD passes vs 0.67 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.58 TDs to 1.01 interceptions. Jalen Berger averages 59 rushing yards and 0.7 rushing TDs when Michigan State wins and 49 yards and 0.34 TDs in losses. Iowa has a 43% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 80% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IA -11.5 --- Over/Under line is 36

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Michigan StateATS RECORDIowaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1/2/2000All Games2/2/2000Iowa
Road & Neutral Field0-0-0Home Games1/1/2000No Edge
When Underdog0-2-0When Favored2/1/2000Iowa
Conference Opp0-1-0Conference Opp0-1-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record0-2-0Opp Under .5001-0-0Iowa

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Michigan StateATS RECORDIowaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4/7/2001All Games6/6/2000Iowa
Road & Neutral Field1/3/2001Home Games3/3/2000Iowa
When Underdog2/5/2001When Favored2/4/2000Iowa
Conference Opp2/6/2001Conference Opp5/4/2000Iowa
Opp .500+ Record2/5/2001Opp Under .5001/1/2000Iowa

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Michigan StateO-U-P RECORDIowaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-3-0All Totals (O-U-P)1/3/2000UNDER
On Road0-0-0At Home1/1/2000No Edge
All Totals Last Season5/7/2000All Totals Last Season3/9/2000UNDER
On Road Last Season1/4/2000At Home Last Season2/4/2000UNDER

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