AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Illinois winning 48% of simulations, and Purdue 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Illinois commits fewer turnovers in 46% of simulations and they go on to win 57% when they take care of the ball. Purdue wins 64% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Josh McCray is averaging 102 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. Devin Mockobee is averaging 79 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PUR -2.5 --- Over/Under line is 53.5
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Illinois | ATS RECORD | Purdue | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 0-4-0 | All Games | 1/3/2000 | Purdue |
| Road & Neutral Field | 0-1-0 | Home Games | 0-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 0-2-0 | When Favored | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 0-1-0 | Conference Opp | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-1-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 1/2/2000 | Purdue |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Illinois | ATS RECORD | Purdue | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 6/5/2001 | All Games | 5/8/2000 | Illinois |
| Road & Neutral Field | 4-0-1 | Home Games | 1/5/2000 | Illinois |
| When Underdog | 4-0-1 | When Favored | 1/5/2000 | Illinois |
| Conference Opp | 5/3/2001 | Conference Opp | 4/6/2000 | Illinois |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2/3/2000 | Opp .500+ Record | 3/2/2000 | Purdue |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Illinois | O-U-P RECORD | Purdue | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 1/3/2000 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 2/2/2000 | UNDER |
| On Road | 0-1-0 | At Home | 2/1/2000 | No Edge |
| All Totals Last Season | 4/8/2000 | All Totals Last Season | 8/5/2000 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 1/4/2000 | At Home Last Season | 4/2/2000 | UNDER |
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