AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida winning 49% of simulations, and Kentucky 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida commits fewer turnovers in 38% of simulations and they go on to win 57% when they take care of the ball. Kentucky wins 66% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Montrell Johnson Jr. is averaging 83 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Ray Davis is averaging 84 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is KY -3 --- Over/Under line is 46
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
Florida | ATS RECORD | Kentucky | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
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All Games | 1/2/2000 | All Games | 3-0-0 | Kentucky |
Road & Neutral Field | 0-1-0 | Home Games | 2-0-0 | Kentucky |
When Underdog | 1/1/2000 | When Favored | 3-0-0 | Kentucky |
Conference Opp | 1-0-0 | Conference Opp | 1-0-0 | No Edge |
Opp .500+ Record | 1-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
Florida | ATS RECORD | Kentucky | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
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All Games | 6/6/2000 | All Games | 9/2/2001 | Kentucky |
Road & Neutral Field | 4/2/2000 | Home Games | 6/1/2000 | Kentucky |
When Underdog | 5/1/2000 | When Favored | 3/1/2001 | Florida |
Conference Opp | 3/5/2000 | Conference Opp | 4/2/2001 | Kentucky |
Opp .500+ Record | 3/4/2000 | Opp Under .500 | 1/1/2000 | Kentucky |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Florida | O-U-P RECORD | Kentucky | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-3-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 2/1/2000 | UNDER |
On Road | 0-1-0 | At Home | 1/1/2000 | UNDER |
All Totals Last Season | 5/5/2001 | All Totals Last Season | 0-12-0 | UNDER |
On Road Last Season | 3/2/2000 | At Home Last Season | 0-8-0 | UNDER |
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