September 25, 2023 9:30 AM EST

Florida vs Kentucky 9/30/2023

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida winning 49% of simulations, and Kentucky 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida commits fewer turnovers in 38% of simulations and they go on to win 57% when they take care of the ball. Kentucky wins 66% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Montrell Johnson Jr. is averaging 83 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Ray Davis is averaging 84 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (41% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is KY -3 --- Over/Under line is 46

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

FloridaATS RECORDKentuckyATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games1/2/2000All Games3-0-0Kentucky
Road & Neutral Field0-1-0Home Games2-0-0Kentucky
When Underdog1/1/2000When Favored3-0-0Kentucky
Conference Opp1-0-0Conference Opp1-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record1-0-0Opp .500+ Record0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

FloridaATS RECORDKentuckyATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6/6/2000All Games9/2/2001Kentucky
Road & Neutral Field4/2/2000Home Games6/1/2000Kentucky
When Underdog5/1/2000When Favored3/1/2001Florida
Conference Opp3/5/2000Conference Opp4/2/2001Kentucky
Opp .500+ Record3/4/2000Opp Under .5001/1/2000Kentucky

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

FloridaO-U-P RECORDKentuckyO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)0-3-0All Totals (O-U-P)2/1/2000UNDER
On Road0-1-0At Home1/1/2000UNDER
All Totals Last Season5/5/2001All Totals Last Season0-12-0UNDER
On Road Last Season3/2/2000At Home Last Season0-8-0UNDER

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