AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Boise State winning 41% of simulations, and Memphis 59% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Boise State commits fewer turnovers in 22% of simulations and they go on to win 55% when they take care of the ball. Memphis wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. George Holani is averaging 105 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. Blake Watson is averaging 72 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MEM -3 --- Over/Under line is 60
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Boise State | ATS RECORD | Memphis | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 1/2/2000 | All Games | 1/1/2001 | Memphis |
| Road & Neutral Field | 0-2-0 | Home Games | 0-1-1 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 1/1/2000 | When Favored | 1/1/2000 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 1/1/2000 | Non-Conference Opp | 1-0-1 | Memphis |
| Opp .500+ Record | 1-0-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1/1/2000 | Boise State |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Boise State | ATS RECORD | Memphis | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 8/5/2000 | All Games | 6/6/2000 | Boise State |
| Road & Neutral Field | 3/3/2000 | Home Games | 2/4/2000 | Boise State |
| When Underdog | 2/2/2000 | When Favored | 3/3/2000 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 1/3/2000 | Non-Conference Opp | 1/4/2000 | Boise State |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3/2/2000 | Opp .500+ Record | 2/3/2000 | Boise State |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Boise State | O-U-P RECORD | Memphis | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 2/1/2000 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 2/1/2000 | OVER |
| On Road | 2-0-0 | At Home | 1-0-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 5/7/2000 | All Totals Last Season | 8/3/2001 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 0-6-0 | At Home Last Season | 4/2/2000 | UNDER |
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