AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Arkansas State winning 45% of simulations, and Massachusetts 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Arkansas State commits fewer turnovers in 17% of simulations and they go on to win 61% when they take care of the ball. Massachusetts wins 63% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ja\'Quez Cross is averaging 46 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (17% chance) then he helps his team win 58%. Kay\'Ron Adams is averaging 90 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UMASS -1.5 --- Over/Under line is 55.5
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Arkansas State | ATS RECORD | Massachusetts | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 1/2/2000 | All Games | 3/2/2000 | Massachusetts |
| Road & Neutral Field | 0-1-0 | Home Games | 0-2-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 1/2/2000 | When Favored | 0-2-0 | Arkansas State |
| Non-Conference Opp | 1/2/2000 | Non-Conference Opp | 3/2/2000 | Massachusetts |
| Opp .500+ Record | 0-1-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1/2/2000 | Massachusetts |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Arkansas State | ATS RECORD | Massachusetts | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 5/5/2000 | All Games | 4/7/2000 | Arkansas State |
| Road & Neutral Field | 4/2/2000 | Home Games | 1/3/2000 | Arkansas State |
| When Underdog | 4/3/2000 | When Favored | 0-1-0 | Arkansas State |
| Non-Conference Opp | 3/2/2000 | Non-Conference Opp | 4/6/2000 | Arkansas State |
| Opp Under .500 | 3/3/2000 | Opp Under .500 | 3/4/2000 | Arkansas State |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Arkansas State | O-U-P RECORD | Massachusetts | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 2/1/2000 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 3/2/2000 | OVER |
| On Road | 1-0-0 | At Home | 1/1/2000 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 6/4/2000 | All Totals Last Season | 4/7/2000 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 3/3/2000 | At Home Last Season | 2/2/2000 | No Edge |
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