September 19, 2023 6:55 AM CDT

Rice vs South Florida 9/23/2023

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Rice winning 51% of simulations, and South Florida 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Rice commits fewer turnovers in 38% of simulations and they go on to win 60% when they take care of the ball. South Florida wins 61% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Dean Connors is averaging 62 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. Nay\'Quan Wright is averaging 111 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (16% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SFLA +2.5 --- Over/Under line is 56

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

RiceATS RECORDSouth FloridaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games2-0-0All Games1/1/2000Rice
Road & Neutral Field1-0-0Home Games1-0-0No Edge
When Favored0-0-0When Underdog1/1/2000No Edge
Conference Opp0-0-0Conference Opp0-0-0No Edge
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp .500+ Record1-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

RiceATS RECORDSouth FloridaATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5/6/2000All Games5/6/2000No Edge
Road & Neutral Field2/4/2000Home Games1/4/2000Rice
When Favored1/2/2000When Underdog5/5/2000South Florida
Conference Opp2/2/2000Conference Opp1/4/2000Rice
Opp Under .5002/2/2000Opp Under .5001/3/2000Rice

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

RiceO-U-P RECORDSouth FloridaO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)1/1/2000All Totals (O-U-P)0-2-0UNDER
On Road0-1-0At Home0-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season7/3/2000All Totals Last Season7/3/2001OVER
On Road Last Season3/2/2000At Home Last Season4/1/2000OVER

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