Illinois is a solid favorite with a 75.0% chance to beat Northwestern. Josh McCray is projected for 103.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 25.0% of simulations where Northwestern wins, Brendan Sullivan averages 1.37 TD passes vs 0.35 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.63 TDs to 0.52 interceptions. Anthony Tyus III averages 38.0 rushing yards and 0.44 rushing TDs when Northwestern wins and 33.0 yards and 0.2 TDs in losses. Illinois has a 20.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 85.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ILL -5.5 --- Over/Under line is 47.0
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Northwestern | ATS RECORD | Illinois | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 6-4-0 | All Games | 3-8-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 20-20-00 | Home Games | 1-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 6-4-0 | When Favored | 1-5-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 5-3-0 | Conference Opp | 3-5-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 2-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-4-0 | Northwestern |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Northwestern | ATS RECORD | Illinois | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 6-5-0 | All Games | 6-5-1 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 30-20-00 | Home Games | 2-5-1 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 6-4-0 | When Favored | 2-5-0 | No Edge |
| Conference Opp | 5-4-0 | Conference Opp | 5-3-1 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-3-0 | Opp Under .500 | 3-1-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Northwestern | O-U-P RECORD | Illinois | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-3-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-5-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 1-3-0 | At Home | 3-3-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 5-6-0 | All Totals Last Season | 4-8-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 2-3-0 | At Home Last Season | 3-4-0 | UNDER |
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