Florida State is a heavy favorite winning 94.0% of simulations over Florida. Jordan Travis is averaging 343.0 passing yards and 1.87 TDs per simulation and Trey Benson is projected for 164.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 6.0% of simulations where Florida wins, Graham Mertz averages 1.6 TD passes vs 0.06 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.68 TDs to 0.06 interceptions. Montrell Johnson Jr. averages 49.0 rushing yards and 0.57 rushing TDs when Florida wins and 38.0 yards and 0.26 TDs in losses. Florida State has a 1.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 97.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLA +6.5 --- Over/Under line is 51.0
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Florida State | ATS RECORD | Florida | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 7-3-0 | All Games | 3-7-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 30-10-00 | Home Games | 2-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 6-3-0 | When Underdog | 2-4-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 2-0-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 0-2-0 | Florida State |
| Opp Under .500 | 1-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 1-5-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Florida State | ATS RECORD | Florida | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 8-4-0 | All Games | 6-6-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 50-00-00 | Home Games | 2-4-0 | Florida State |
| When Favored | 6-3-0 | When Underdog | 5-1-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 2-2-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 3-1-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 3-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 3-4-0 | Florida State |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Florida State | O-U-P RECORD | Florida | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-3-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-4-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 3-1-0 | At Home | 2-3-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 6-6-0 | All Totals Last Season | 5-5-1 | No Edge |
| On Road Last Season | 1-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 2-3-1 | UNDER |
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