June 08, 2023 7:24 AM CDT

NBA: Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat 2023-06-09 20:30:00.0

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The Denver Nuggets are solid 60.2 percent favorites over the Miami Heat. The Nuggets are shooting 49.2 percent from the field and the Heat are forecasted to shoot 46.4 percent. The Nuggets have the rebounding advantage at 43.3 to 39.8. The Heat are committing fewer turnovers at 11.6 vs 13.2 for the Nuggets. The Nuggets are making 12.8 three pointers on 36.0 percent from three point range. The Heat are making 13.3 three pointers on 36.1 percent. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA---PTS: Nikola Jokic 27.4, Jimmy Butler 23.6 ASSISTS: Nikola Jokic 9.2, Jimmy Butler 4.3 REBOUNDS: Nikola Jokic 13.0, Bam Adebayo 8.9 SPORTS ODDS: Sportsbooks and handicappers have set the line at MIA 3.0 TOTAL 211.0. WIN-LOSS Denver Nuggets 66-33 Miami Heat 57-47 ATS Denver Nuggets 65-34 Sweat Barometer 4.8 Miami Heat 55-49 Sweat Barometer -1.7 OVER-UNDER Denver Nuggets 78-21 Avg Over/Under Line 138.8 Miami Heat 82-21 Avg Over/Under Line 125.8 ACCUSCORE PICK RECORD - POINT SPREAD PICKS Denver Nuggets 69-30 Miami Heat 58-45 OVER-UNDER PICKS Denver Nuggets 82-16 Miami Heat 81-22

UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Denver Nuggets

Denver NuggetsATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road24-25, 49.0% -100Record at Home34-18, 65.0% 1600Miami Heat
VS Miami Heat4-1, 80.0% 290VS Denver Nuggets1-4, 20.0% -340Denver Nuggets
vs Team .500 or Better41-21, 66.0% 1790vs Team .500 or Better35-30, 54.0% 200Denver Nuggets
Record as Road Favorite5-20, 20.0% -1700Record as Home Underdog23-5, 82.0% 1750Miami Heat
After 1 or More Days Off42-17, 71.0% +2330After 1 or More Days Off42-30, 58.0% +900Denver Nuggets

PAST 30 DAYS

Denver NuggetsATS RECORDMiami HeatATS RECORDATS EDGE
Record on the Road4-0, 100.0% 400Record at Home2-3, 40.0% -100Denver Nuggets
VS Miami Heat2-1, 67.0% 90VS Denver Nuggets1-2, 33.0% -120Denver Nuggets
vs Team .500 or Better2-1, 67.0% 90vs Team .500 or Better6-6, 50.0% -60Denver Nuggets
Record as Road Favorite2-0, 100.0% 200Record as Home Underdog1-2, 33.0% -120Denver Nuggets
After 1 or More Days Off8-1, 89.0% +690After 1 or More Days Off6-6, 50.0% -60Denver Nuggets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Denver NuggetsRECORDMiami HeatRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD40-9, 82.0% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME41-10, 80.0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-2, 50.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-3, 40.0% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST YR23-19, 55.0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST YR23-23, 50.0% OverOVER
vs Teams Averaging >100 PTS at Home78-21, 79.0% OVERvs Teams Averaging >100 PTS on Road82-21, 80.0%OVER

AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. The AccuScore Advisor provides Point Spread, Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NBA game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore's Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore's RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

POINT SPREAD (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 33-16, 67.0% +1540 Miami Heat Home Games: 31-20, 61.0% +900 POINT SPREAD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 3-1, 75.0% +190 Miami Heat Home Games: 3-2, 60.0% +80

OVER-UNDER RECORD (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 42-7, 86.0% + 3122 Miami Heat Home Games: 40-11, 78.0% + 2540 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 2-2, 50.0% -18 Miami Heat Home Games: 2-3, 40.0% -118

SIDE VALUE (SEASON) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 19-25, 43.0% +89 Miami Heat Home Games: 19-25, 43.0% +-206 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Denver Nuggets Road Games: 3-1, 75.0% +233 Miami Heat Home Games: 3-2, 60.0% +42

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